Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Lifespan Innovation (ICLI 2026) national Conference on Lifespan Innovation

2nd International Conference on Lifespan Innovation (ICLI 2026)

📍Chengdu, China🗓️ 11-12 June 2026

The Interaction between New Quality Productive Forces and Population Aging on China’s Economic Growth: Synergy or Conflict?

Authors
Yong Yin1, 2, *
1School of Financial Management, Gingko College of Hospitality Management, Chengdu, 611743, China
2Graduate School of Development Economics, National Institute of Development Administration, Bangkok, 10240, Thailand
*Corresponding author. Email: yong.yin@gingkoc.edu.cn
Corresponding Author
Yong Yin
Available Online 14 October 2026.
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6239-797-2_7How to use a DOI?
Keywords
New Quality Productive Forces; Population Aging; Economic Growth; Conflict Effect; China
Abstract

This paper examines the interactive effect of New Quality Productive Forces (NQP) and population aging on China’s economic growth. Using 2011–2022 provincial panel data, we build a comprehensive NQP index via principal component analysis. Two-way fixed effects and system GMM show a significant “conflict effect”: higher NQP development makes aging’s negative growth impact stronger, challenging the technology–aging complementarity view. Robustness checks confirm this. Mechanism tests suggest the effect runs through channels beyond simple labor displacement or demand–supply mismatch. Heterogeneity shows the conflict is acute in less-developed but mitigated in more-developed regions. Absent proactive institutional realignment, NQP may exacerbate aging’s challenges. Policy implications include differentiated regional strategies, aging-oriented innovation, lifelong human capital, and dynamic monitoring.

Copyright
© 2026 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Lifespan Innovation (ICLI 2026) national Conference on Lifespan Innovation
Series
Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research
Publication Date
14 October 2026
ISBN
978-94-6239-797-2
ISSN
2352-5398
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6239-797-2_7How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2026 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Yong Yin
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/14
TI  - The Interaction between New Quality Productive Forces and Population Aging on China’s Economic Growth: Synergy or Conflict?
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Lifespan Innovation (ICLI 2026) national Conference on Lifespan Innovation
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 51
EP  - 60
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6239-797-2_7
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6239-797-2_7
ID  - Yin2026
ER  -