Advanced Uncertainty Modeling to Enhance Resource Efficiency in High-Voltage Material Engineering
- DOI
- 10.2991/978-94-6463-928-5_15How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Uncertainty analysis; Fuzzy set theory; Low current high-voltage arc (DC); Dynamic process modelling
- Abstract
This study offers a comprehensive overview of a range of mathematical methods designed to address uncertainties in engineering calculations and assesses their suitability. The focus is on fuzzy set theory, which has proven to be particularly effective and offers a robust solution package for modelling and analyzing uncertainties. Additionally, a detailed model for analyzing the dynamic behavior of the surface temperature of insulating materials under high-voltage arcs is presented, systematically incorporating uncertainties and imprecision. The model is divided into three sub-models: a current-voltage model, a three-cylinder model, and a temperature-heat model. Through Monte Carlo simulations and correlation analyses, the key influencing parameters on surface temperature were identified, with material and heat transfer properties being recognized as particularly significant. The model was validated through cooling experiments by observing the cooldown process after heating, which showed a high degree of agreement with the simulation results. The application of fuzzy set theory for modelling uncertain parameters enabled precise consideration of uncertainties, making the model a reliable basis for predicting surface temperature under various test conditions and for better understanding the behavior of insulating materials under low current high-voltage arcs (DC).
- Copyright
- © 2025 The Author(s)
- Open Access
- Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Daniel Fiss AU - Stefan Kühnel AU - Alexander Kratzsch AU - Stefan Kornhuber PY - 2025 DA - 2025/12/25 TI - Advanced Uncertainty Modeling to Enhance Resource Efficiency in High-Voltage Material Engineering BT - Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference Resources and Technology (RESAT 2025) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 186 EP - 212 SN - 2352-5401 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-928-5_15 DO - 10.2991/978-94-6463-928-5_15 ID - Fiss2025 ER -