Proceedings of the 2025 4th International Conference on Public Management, Digital Economy and Internet Technology (ICPDI 2025)

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Empirical Analysis of Climate Policy Uncertainty and Energy Transition: A Provincial Index Approach

Authors
Xiaoqing Yan1, Qiuli Zhao1, Xue Ma2, Fang Li2, Bo Wang3, *
1State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing, 102209, China
2Economic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Qinghai Electric Power Company, Xining, 810001, China
3School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China
*Corresponding author. Email: b.wang@bit.edu.cn
Corresponding Author
Bo Wang
Available Online 15 December 2025.
DOI
10.2991/978-2-38476-507-2_2How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Climate policy uncertainty; Energy transition; Regional heterogeneity
Abstract

This study employs an individual fixed-effect empirical model to empirically examine the effect of climate policy uncertainty on energy transition on the basis of provincial panel data from China from 2006 to 2020. The findings reveal that climate policy uncertainty hinders energy transition, with each unit increase leading to declining approximately 2.76% in the level of energy transition. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that this inhibitory effect is particularly pronounced in the central and western regions and the northern region, while it exerts no significant effect on the eastern and southern regions. Robustness tests also validate the reliability of the conclusions. Based on these findings, this paper proposes differentiated regional policies for global climate governance and green transformation in developing countries.

Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2025 4th International Conference on Public Management, Digital Economy and Internet Technology (ICPDI 2025)
Series
Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research
Publication Date
15 December 2025
ISBN
978-2-38476-507-2
ISSN
2352-5398
DOI
10.2991/978-2-38476-507-2_2How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Xiaoqing Yan
AU  - Qiuli Zhao
AU  - Xue Ma
AU  - Fang Li
AU  - Bo Wang
PY  - 2025
DA  - 2025/12/15
TI  - Empirical Analysis of Climate Policy Uncertainty and Energy Transition: A Provincial Index Approach
BT  - Proceedings of the 2025 4th International Conference on Public Management, Digital Economy and Internet Technology (ICPDI 2025)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 4
EP  - 12
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-2-38476-507-2_2
DO  - 10.2991/978-2-38476-507-2_2
ID  - Yan2025
ER  -