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Demographic Dividend and Its Regional Variation: Evidence from Bangka Belitung Islands Province

Authors
Tomi Sah1, *, Devi Valeriani2, Aning Kesuma Putri2
1Institute of Population Research, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
2Faculty of Economics and Business, Bangka Belitung University, Pangkalpinang, Bangka Belitung Islands Province, 33172, Indonesia
*Corresponding author. Email: tomisah33@gmail.com
Corresponding Author
Tomi Sah
Available Online 25 December 2025.
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-974-2_8How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Demographic Dividend; Age Structure; Human Capital; Economy
Abstract

The demographic transition in developing regions presents a unique opportunity to accelerate economic growth through the demographic dividend. However, its realization varies across spatial and institutional contexts. This study examines regional disparities in realizing the demographic dividend in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province, Indonesia. A composite Demographic Dividend Index (DDI) was developed by integrating age structure, labor participation, education, and dependency ratios to assess regional demographic potential. Using panel data from 2013–2024 and Random Effects regression analysis, the results reveal that only districts with diversified economies and strong human-capital investment, particularly West Bangka and East Belitung, effectively convert demographic advantages into economic gains. Median age and human capital positively influence regional income, while an unabsorbed working-age population suppresses growth. The findings demonstrate that the demographic dividend is not an automatic outcome of population change but a function of institutional capacity, labor-market efficiency, and human-capital quality. The study contributes to demographic-economic transition theory and offers policy insight on aligning education, employment, and governance strategies to optimize demographic potential for sustainable regional growth.

Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference of Economics, Management, Accounting, and Business Digital (ICEMAB 2025)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
25 December 2025
ISBN
978-94-6463-974-2
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-974-2_8How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Tomi Sah
AU  - Devi Valeriani
AU  - Aning Kesuma Putri
PY  - 2025
DA  - 2025/12/25
TI  - Demographic Dividend and Its Regional Variation: Evidence from Bangka Belitung Islands Province
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference of Economics, Management, Accounting, and Business Digital (ICEMAB 2025)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 46
EP  - 52
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-974-2_8
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-974-2_8
ID  - Sah2025
ER  -