Proceedings of the 2026 7th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM 2026)

2026 7th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM 2026)

📍Shenyang, China🗓️ 22-24 May 2026
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Risk Assessment of Green Renovation Projects for Aging Residential Communities Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Networks

Authors
Baorui Wang1, *
1School of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao, China
*Corresponding author. Email: 924512552@qq.com
Corresponding Author
Baorui Wang
Available Online 8 September 2026.
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6239-758-3_24How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Aging Residential Communities; Green Renovation; Risk Assessment; Fuzzy Bayesian Networks; Noisy-OR Model
Abstract

In response to the characteristics of green renovation projects in old residential communities, such as multiple participants and phased and dynamic risk transmission, this paper constructs a risk assessment system with 16 indicators in four stages of the entire life cycle. It integrates combined weighting, triangular fuzzy numbers and Bayesian networks to establish an assessment model, and introduces the Noisy-or model to simplify the parameters. Using a project in a city in East China as an empirical case, the results show that the project is generally at a medium-to-high risk level (posterior probability 0.62), with the most prominent risks in the decision-making and construction stages; financing difficulties, lack of cooperation from residents, and insufficient experience in green property management are the key risk factors.

Copyright
© 2026 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2026 7th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM 2026)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
8 September 2026
ISBN
978-94-6239-758-3
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6239-758-3_24How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2026 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Baorui Wang
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/08
TI  - Risk Assessment of Green Renovation Projects for Aging Residential Communities Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Networks
BT  - Proceedings of the 2026 7th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM 2026)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 241
EP  - 247
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6239-758-3_24
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6239-758-3_24
ID  - Wang2026
ER  -