A Conceptual Framework for Integrating Blue Carbon Ecosystems into Climate Mitigation and Coastal Flood Risk Reduction for Power Plants

DOI

10.2991/978-2-38476-565-2_7How to use a DOI?

Keywords

blue carbon; carbon sequestration; coastal resilience; flood risk reduction; mangrove restoration

Abstract

Coastal coal-fired power plants (CFPPs) in Indonesia are increasingly facing risks from sea-level rise (SLR) and flooding. In line with Indonesia’s 2030 NDC and carbon valuation rules, this study creates a framework that connects mangrove suitability, carbon storage, and flood-risk assessment. This aims to support climate-resilient planning for energy infrastructure. The framework is applied to the Suralaya CFPP under four scenarios: Baseline 2025, Mangrove 2025, SLR 2030, and SLR + Mangroves 2030. Results show that the limited suitable area of 145.23 ha results in a modest carbon storage of 927 tons of CO2 annually, which equals 27.81 million IDR in avoided carbon costs. Mangrove restoration reduces the flooded area by approximately 11% (≈60 ha) under baseline 2025 conditions and by about 22% (≈125 ha) under SLR 2030 scenario. The restoration reduced flood risk from Significant to Moderate under baseline 2025 conditions. However, it couldn’t reduce the risk level in the SLR 2030 scenario. These findings demonstrate that while mangroves provide measurable co-benefits for carbon storage and flood attenuation, they are insufficient as a standalone solution. Additional emissions-mitigation technologies such as carbon capture and storage (CCS), as well as engineered flood-protection measures may be needed to manage residual climate risk. The proposed framework functions as a decision-support tool for government and industry by revealing the physical limits of nature-based solutions and identifying where complementary interventions are required. Overall, the framework offers a transferable approach for integrating blue-carbon ecosystems into climate-risk assessments and sustainable energy-transition strategies for Indonesia’s coastal power sector.

Copyright

© 2026 The Author(s)

Open Access

Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Intan Pamungkas
AU  - Yoga Edi Kuncaraningrat
AU  - Meiri Triani
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/04/30
TI  - A Conceptual Framework for Integrating Blue Carbon Ecosystems into Climate Mitigation and Coastal Flood Risk Reduction for Power Plants
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Social Environment Diversity (ICOSEND 2025)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 51
EP  - 65
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-2-38476-565-2_7
DO  - 10.2991/978-2-38476-565-2_7
ID  - Pamungkas2026
ER  -