Proceedings of the 2025 3rd International Academic Conference on Management Innovation and Economic Development (MIED 2025)

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The Impact of Climate Change on Fertiliser Input in China: Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

Authors
Meiling Yang1, *
1China Agricultural University, 17 Qinghua East Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
*Corresponding author. Email: 2021314050228@cau.edu.cn
Corresponding Author
Meiling Yang
Available Online 17 September 2025.
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-835-6_39How to use a DOI?
Keywords
fertiliser input; climate change; panel data analysis; agriculture
Abstract

Climate change directly affects agricultural production by changing temperature and precipitation patterns, and as a key input factor in modern agriculture, the efficiency of fertiliser use is closely related to climate change. Based on panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022, this study uses fixed effects and time trend OLS regression models to explore the direct impact of climate change on fertiliser input and the mediating role of agricultural output. The results showed that: (1) the increase of temperature significantly reduced the use of fertiliser (coefficient -5.159), but the effect of precipitation was not significant; (2) The increase of mechanisation level slightly increased the demand for fertiliser (coefficient 0.006), reflecting that technical input may stimulate the use by expanding the planting scale; (3) The amount of chemical fertiliser decreased year by year after 2013, and the decrease in 2022 was 301.43 million tons, which was related to environmental protection policies or technological progress; (4) The mediating effect of agricultural output has not been verified. The results show that climate change directly affects fertiliser input through temperature change, while policy regulation plays a significant role in reducing fertiliser use. This study provides an empirical basis for coordinating sustainable agricultural development and climate change adaptation in China.

Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2025 3rd International Academic Conference on Management Innovation and Economic Development (MIED 2025)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
17 September 2025
ISBN
978-94-6463-835-6
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-835-6_39How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Meiling Yang
PY  - 2025
DA  - 2025/09/17
TI  - The Impact of Climate Change on Fertiliser Input in China: Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data
BT  - Proceedings of the 2025 3rd International Academic Conference on Management Innovation and Economic Development (MIED 2025)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 374
EP  - 382
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-835-6_39
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-835-6_39
ID  - Yang2025
ER  -