Proceedings of the 2025 5th International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society (PMIS 2025)

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Heterogeneity in Fertility Intentions for Another Child across Different Groups: A Bayesian Network Analysis Using 3off2 Algorithm

Authors
Tian Tian1, Xinlei Zhou1, Chunling Luo1, Juping Shou1, *
1Alibaba Business School, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China
*Corresponding author. Email: shoujuping@126.com
Corresponding Author
Juping Shou
Available Online 28 May 2025.
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-744-1_22How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Fertility groups; subsequent fertility intentions; bayesian network
Abstract

In contrast to prior studies that primarily rely on logistic regression to independently examine factors influencing fertility intentions, this study introduces a novel Bayesian network analysis approach to explore the complex interplay among multiple factors affecting subsequent fertility decisions. Using data from the 2019 China Social Survey (CSS), we identify distinct patterns of fertility intentions among groups who have already given birth to one child. Our findings reveal that individuals born in the 1980s with higher education and stable em-ployment exhibit the strongest likelihood of having a second child. Notably, for this subgroup, the cost of education exerts minimal influence on fertility inten-tions, while family relationships emerge as a key priority. These insights contrib-ute to a deeper understanding of fertility dynamics in China’s evolving policy landscape and provide actionable recommendations for policymakers.

Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2025 5th International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society (PMIS 2025)
Series
Atlantis Highlights in Intelligent Systems
Publication Date
28 May 2025
ISBN
978-94-6463-744-1
ISSN
2589-4919
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-744-1_22How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2025 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Tian Tian
AU  - Xinlei Zhou
AU  - Chunling Luo
AU  - Juping Shou
PY  - 2025
DA  - 2025/05/28
TI  - Heterogeneity in Fertility Intentions for Another Child across Different Groups: A Bayesian Network Analysis Using 3off2 Algorithm
BT  - Proceedings of the 2025 5th International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society (PMIS 2025)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 201
EP  - 207
SN  - 2589-4919
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-744-1_22
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-744-1_22
ID  - Tian2025
ER  -